"Demographic Winter" -- the title of a new film -- denotes the worldwide decline in birthrates.
From their FAQ site:
What is population stability, and why is the number 2.1 so important?
Answer: Population stability is the point of equilibrium at which a country’s population is neither growing nor declining. In order to maintain current population, the average woman must have 2.1 children during her lifetime. Essentially, she needs to replace herself and a man. Because some children will die before reaching maturity, slightly more than two children are needed. Hence, 2.1.
A birthrate of more than 2.1 equals population growth. A birthrate of less than 2.1 means long term population decline. The rate of 2.1 is based on currently low infant mortality rates. In countries where infant mortality is higher, the birthrate required for population replacement would also be higher.
Here is the link to the film's homepage (via Metaphilm).
"Times & Seasons" weblog is wondering...
...to what degree this is a Mormon project. A fellow named Smoot appears to be a major sponsor and Merril Jenson is listed as doing the music and I get a "strengthen the family" vibe. For another, the production values look high and what discussion there is on the website looks credible (though a 1.3 TFR for Europe as a whole is on the low side, if I recall) but I'd like to get some sense for the scholars and sources they rely on before I spring for a copy of the DVD.
monochrom is an art-technology-philosophy group having its seat in Vienna and Zeta Draconis. monochrom is an unpeculiar mixture of proto-aesthetic fringe work, pop attitude, subcultural science, context hacking and political activism. Our mission is conducted everywhere, but first and foremost in culture-archeological digs into the seats (and pockets) of ideology and entertainment. monochrom has existed in this (and almost every other) form since 1993. [more]
